[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 080925
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT FRI OCT 8 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO LOOKS A
LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY
BE FORMING.  A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL INVESTIGATE THIS
AFTERNOON.  THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTH TO
NORTHEASTWARD AND PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY
WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN AND NORTHERN GULF COAST.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES IS PRODUCING
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS THAT EXTEND NORTHWARD OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME...GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT
THERE COULD BE SOME DEVELOPMENT TO THE NORTH OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE

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