[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 080208
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT THU OCT 7 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO HAS
CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS AND IT
APPEARS TO BE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD. SOME MODELS SUGGEST THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL OR NON-TROPICAL LOW DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO.  EVEN IF THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT DEVELOP FURTHER...IT IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN AND NORTHERN GULF COAST AS IT MOVES
NORTHWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ANOTHER
PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE AREA ON FRIDAY.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES IS PRODUCING
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS THAT EXTEND NORTHWARD OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME...MOST OF THE GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS THAT THERE COULD BE SOME TROPICAL OR NON-TROPICAL
DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA

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