[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 072114
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU OCT 7 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE HAS BEEN INVESTIGATING THE AREA OF DISTURBED
WEATHER IN THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND SO FAR IT HAS FOUND A
BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH LIGHT WINDS EXCEPT IN A FEW
SQUALLS. ALTHOUGH SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM HAS NOT
BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED...SOME MODELS SUGGEST THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A TROPICAL OR NON-TROPICAL LOW DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  EVEN
IF THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT DEVELOP FURTHER...IT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHWESTERN AND NORTHERN GULF COAST AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD TO
NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ANOTHER PLANE IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE AREA ON FRIDAY.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES IS PRODUCING
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS THAT EXTEND NORTHWARD OVER THE CENTRAL
ATLANTIC FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES. ALTHOUGH UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME...MOST OF THE GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS THAT THERE COULD BE SOME TROPICAL OR NON-TROPICAL
DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA

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