[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 010830
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM LISA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  48
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI OCT 01 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF LISA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  47.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST MON OCT  4 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

40.5N  42.5W      22  3  X  X 25   46.0N  28.5W       X  1  9  X 10
43.4N  37.0W       X 15  3  X 18

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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