[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTPQ81 PGUM 300451
HLSPQ1
PMZ161-171-301100-
TROPICAL STORM NANMADOL LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
3 PM GUAM LST TUE NOV 30 2004

...TYPHOON NANMADOL RACING TOWARD YAP...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF
ULITHI...FAIS...YAP AND NGULU IN YAP STATE FSM AND FOR KOROR AND
KAYANGEL IN THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED
PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF DAMAGING WINDS. TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
YAP...FAIS...ULITHI AND NGULU IN YAP STATE FSM.

A TYPHOON WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR
KAYANGEL AND KOROR IN THE REPUBLIC OF PALAU.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1 PM GUAM LST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON NANMADOL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 8.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 140.2 DEGREES
EAST. THIS IS ABOUT  70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FAIS
                     85 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ULITHI
                    150 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP
                    190 MILES EAST OF NGULU
                    380 MILES EAST OF KAYANGEL
                    410 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF KOROR

TYPHOON NANMADOL IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 23 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A
SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 85 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 105 MPH. TYPHOON
NANMADOL IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES FROM THE CENTER
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES.

NANMADOL IS A CATEGORY 1 TYPHOON AT THIS TIME...AND IS EXPECTED TO
BE A STRONG CATEGORY 2 TYPHOON WHILE PASSING NEAR YAP TONIGHT.


...YAP...
THE GOVERNOR OF YAP STATE HAS PLACED YAP IN TYPHOON CONDITION OF
READINESS 1. RESIDENTS SHOULD ALREADY BE PREPARED FOR TYPHOON-FORCE
WINDS. OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED.
SMALL CRAFT REMAIN IN PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM THE YAP
DISASTER MANAGEMENT OFFICE.

...WIND INFORMATION...
DAMAGING NORTH WINDS OF 39 MPH WILL BEGIN IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND
WILL INCREASE TO 90 TO 110 MPH BETWEEN 8 PM AND 10 PM AS THE EYE
PASSES OVER OR NEAR YAP. SOON THEREAFTER...WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTH
AT 80 TO 100 MPH...THEN SLOWLY DIMINISH TO 25 TO 35 MPH BY NOON
WEDNESDAY. IF EYE PASSAGE OCCURS...DO NOT LEAVE SHELTERS AS EYE
DURATION WILL BE SHORT AND TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS WILL RETURN RAPIDLY.
THIS WILL BE A STRONG CATEGORY 2 TYPHOON SIMILAR TO TYPHOON SUDAL.
PLAN FOR TYPHOON CATEGORY 3 CONDITIONS AND DAMAGE. DUE TO THE RAPID
SPEED OF THE TYPHOON...WINDS AND STORM SURGE MAY BE HIGHER THAN IN
SLOWER MOVING TYPHOONS OF COMPARABLE INTENSITY.

TYPHOON CATEGORY 2 WINDS CAN DAMAGE WOODEN STRUCTURES AND ROOFS
MADE OF WOOD AND TIN...ESPECIALLY OLDER ONES THAT ARE WEAKENED BY
TERMITES. THESE WINDS CAN ALSO SNAP WOODEN POWER POLES THAT ARE
WEAKENED BY TERMITES...AND WILL BLOW DOWN SOME SECONDARY POWER
LINES.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
SURF HEIGHTS OF 11 TO 14 FEET THIS AFTERNOON WILL INCREASE TO 14 TO
17 FEET THIS EVENING. INUNDATION OF AROUND 7 TO 9 FEET CAN BE
EXPECTED. SEVERE BEACH EROSION AND COASTAL FLOODING ARE LIKELY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.


...ULITHI AND FAIS...
THE GOVERNOR OF YAP STATE HAS PLACED ULITHI AND FAIS IN TO TYPHOON
CONDITION OF READINESS 1. RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR TYPHOON-FORCE
WINDS. OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS SHOULD ALREADY BE
SECURED. SMALL CRAFT REMAIN IN PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM THE
YAP DISASTER MANAGEMENT OFFICE.

...WIND INFORMATION...
DAMAGING NORTH WINDS OF 39 MPH ARE ALREADY OCCURRING ON FAIS AND
ULITHI. WIND GUSTS TO 68 MPH HAVE BEEN OBSERVED ON ULITHI. WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO 50 TO 60 MPH OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND WILL
BECOME EAST THEN SOUTHEAST AND SLOWLY DIMINISH...FALLING TO 25 TO 35
MPH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. A CHANGE IN TRACK COULD BRING TYPHOON
CONDITIONS TO ULITHI BUT TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS ARE NO LONGER LIKELY ON
FAIS.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
SURF HEIGHTS OF 10 TO 13 FEET THIS AFTERNOON WILL INCREASE TO 12 TO
15 FEET THIS EVENING ON ULITHI AND REMAIN UNCHANGED AT FAIS.
INUNDATION OF AROUND 2 TO 3 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED ON ULITHI. SEVERE
BEACH EROSION AND COASTAL FLOODING ARE LIKELY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY.


...NGULU...
THE GOVERNOR OF YAP STATE HAS PLACED NGULU INTO TYPHOON CONDITION OF
READINESS 1. RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
TYPHOON-FORCE WINDS. SECURE OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE
OBJECTS IMMEDIATELY. SMALL CRAFT REMAIN IN PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS
FROM THE YAP DISASTER MANAGEMENT OFFICE.

...WIND INFORMATION...
DAMAGING NORTHWEST WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE WILL BEGIN IN THE NEXT
FEW HOURS AND WILL INCREASE TO 50 TO 60 MPH LATER TONIGHT. WINDS
WILL BECOME WEST THEN SOUTHWEST AND SLOWLY DIMINISH...FALLING
TO 25 TO 35 MPH LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING. A CHANGE IN THE TYPHOON
TRACK COULD BRING TYPHOON CONDITIONS TO NGULU.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
SURF HEIGHTS OF 9 TO 12 FEET THIS AFTERNOON WILL INCREASE TO 11 TO
14 FEET TONIGHT. INUNDATION OF AROUND 1 TO 2 FEET IS POSSIBLE.
BEACH EROSION AND COASTAL FLOODING ARE LIKELY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY.


...KOROR AND KAYANGEL...
RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS. SECURE
OUTSIDE FURNITURE AND OTHER LOOSE OBJECTS. SMALL CRAFT REMAIN IN
PORT. FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM THE PALAU EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE.

...WIND INFORMATION...
DAMAGING WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE WILL BEGIN AROUND
MIDNIGHT AND INCREASE TO 45 TO 50 MPH BY DAYBREAK. WINDS WILL
BECOME SOUTHWEST AND SLOWLY DIMINISH...FALLING TO 20 TO 30 MPH
WEDNESDAY EVENING.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
SURF HEIGHTS OF 6 TO 8 FEET THIS AFTERNOON WILL INCREASE TO 9 TO
12 FEET LATE TONIGHT. NO SIGNIFICANT INUNDATION IS EXPECTED.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING OR MUDSLIDES
ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 9 PM. STAY TUNED TO THE YAP WEATHER OFFICE AND THE YAP
LOCAL DISASTER MANAGEMENT OFFICE FOR MORE DETAILS...OR VISIT
THE GUAM WEATHER OFFICE WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.PRH.NOAA.GOV/GUAM (ALL
LOWER CASE).

$$

GUARD




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