[Tropical] Tropical Weather Discussion

[EMWIN Server]

AXNT20 KNHC 220548
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 AM EST MON 22 NOV 2004

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHEASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN
COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0345 UTC.

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 8N12W 7N25W 7N53W 6N57W. SCATTERED
TSTMS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE ITCZ AXIS FROM 24W TO 33W AND FROM
55W TO 57W.

...DISCUSSION...
GULF OF MEXICO...W ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN...
BROAD MID/UPPER HIGH IS LOCATED IN THE CARIBBEAN NEAR 15N79W
WITH ANTICYCLONIC FLOW COVERING THE ENTIRE AREA W OF 65W.
STRONG SUBSIDENCE/DRY UPPER AIR COVERS THE AREA FROM 17N-27N
BETWEEN 65W-95W. PACIFIC MOISTURE IS BEING ADVECTED ACROSS N
MEXICO INTO TEXAS AND THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO AND INTO THE
SE U.S.. WEAK STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM S GEORGIA W ACROSS
THE N GULF COAST STATES TO TEXAS TO A NEW 1010 MB LOW CENTERED
IN NW MEXICO NEAR 27N100W. SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS ARE INLAND
OVER TEXAS THROUGH LOUISIANA. OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN...CLUSTERS
OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE WITHIN 90
NM OF THE N COAST OF NICARAGUA.

CENTRAL ATLANTIC...
BROAD DEEP LAYERED TROUGH COVERS THE REGION N OF 15N FROM
35W-65W WITH THE MEAN AXIS FROM 32N48W TO 15N55W. STRONG
SUBSIDENCE/DRY UPPER AIR IN THE ATLC CONTINUES E FROM 18N-25N
BETWEEN 45W-65W. AT THE SURFACE A WEAK COLD FRONT ENTERS THE
ATLC NEAR 32N43W WSW ALONG 28N54W THEN STATIONARY TO 32N62W.
WITH THE DRY AIR IN PLACE...ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60
NM OF THE FRONT MAINLY N OF 28N.

E ATLANTIC...
MID/UPPER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS ALONG 25W WITH ANTICYCLONIC FLOW
COVERING THE AREA FROM 35W E TO THE COAST OF AFRICA. MODERATE
SUBSIDENCE AND DRY AIR AT ALL LEVELS COVER THE E ATLC S OF 20N E
OF 35W.

TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
MOST OF THE TROPICS IS DOMINATED BY MID/UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
FLOW. AT THE SURFACE A WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM
22N34W W TO A 1014 MB LOW NEAR 20N45W WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDING SW TO 14N60W THEN W INTO THE E CARIBBEAN NEAR 11N67W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 19N TO 23N BETWEEN
37W AND 43W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS S OF THE TROUGH FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 55W AND 60W.

$$
DGS

WWWW
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net