[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 120307
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EST THU NOV 11 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS
PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE LESSER
ANTILLES. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...AND UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...THE SYSTEM SHOULD PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINFALL...POSSIBLY CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUD
SLIDES...ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. INTERESTS
IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...LOCATED ABOUT 660 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
THE SOUTHERNMOST AZORES ISLANDS...IS PRODUCING GALE FORCE WINDS
NORTH OF THE CENTER.  HOWEVER...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
DIMISHED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS AS STRONG UPPER-LEVEL NORTHERLY
WINDS HAVE SHEARED THE SYSTEM.  FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THESE TWO SYSTEMS CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH
SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH
AND THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADERS HSFAT2 AND
HSFAT1...AND UNDER WMO HEADERS FZNT02 KNHC AND FZNT01 KWBC.

ELSEWHERE..TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

FORECASTER JARVINEN

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