[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 112221
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EST THU NOV 11 2004

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS
PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE LESSER
ANTILLES. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...AND UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...THE SYSTEM SHOULD PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINFALL...POSSIBLY CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUD
SLIDES...ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
THE SOUTHERNMOST AZORES ISLANDS...IS PRODUCING GALE FORCE WINDS
WELL NORTH OF THE CENTER. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED
NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER AND...IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...THE
SYSTEM COULD GRADUALLY ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD OVER COOLER WATER.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THESE TWO SYSTEMS CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH
SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH
AND THE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADERS HSFAT2 AND
HSFAT1...AND UNDER WMO HEADERS FZNT02 KNHC AND FZNT01 KWBC.

ELSEWHERE..TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

FORECASTER JARVINEN

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