[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 110434
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EST WED NOV 10 2004

...CORRECTED TO ADD SOUTH IN FIRST LINE...

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH OF PUERTO
RICO IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.  THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY POORLY
ORGANIZED...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR
A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE TO DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM
THURSDAY...IF NECESSARY.  EVEN IF A TROPICAL CYCLONE DOES NOT
DEVELOP...THE SYSTEM SHOULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...POSSIBLY
CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES...ACROSS PUERTO
RICO...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL LESSER
ANTILLES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH...
UNDER AWIPS HEADER HSFAT2 AND UNDER WMO HEADER FZNT02 KNHC.

ANOTHER POORLY ORGANIZED AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED JUST
OFFSHORE OF THE GUAJIRA PENINSULA OF COLOMBIA.  DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR.  HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTAL REGIONS OF COLOMBIA AND
VENEZUELA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

ELSEWHERE..TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY.

FORECASTER BEVEN

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