[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 012023
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM OTTO PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM EST WED DEC 01 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF OTTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  49.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM EST SAT DEC  4 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

29.2N  48.7W      44  X  X  X 44   27.4N  47.0W      15  4  2  1 22
28.3N  48.0W      27  1  1  X 29

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM THU TO  1AM FRI
C FROM  1AM FRI TO  1PM FRI
D FROM  1PM FRI TO  1PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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