[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

Nashville EMWIN emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Aug 31 21:40:35 CDT 2004


WTNT72 KNHC 010240
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM GASTON PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE AUG 31 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF GASTON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 41.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT FRI SEP  3 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

46.5N  51.0W      17  8  X  X 25   EDDY POINT NS     13  X  X  X 13
49.0N  41.0W       X 13  6  X 19   PTX BASQUES NFLD   3  X  X  X  3
51.5N  31.0W       X  X 10  X 10   BURGEO NFLD        6  X  X  X  6
YARMOUTH NS        3  X  X  X  3   ILE ST PIERRE     18  X  X  X 18
HALIFAX NS        12  X  X  X 12   CAPE RACE NFLD    22  3  X  X 25
SABLE ISLAND NS   44  X  X  X 44   HIBERNIA OILFLD    5 18  X  X 23
SYDNEY NS         10  X  X  X 10

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
C FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
D FROM  8PM THU TO  8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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