[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT72 KNHC 312026
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM GASTON PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE AUG 31 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF GASTON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 40.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  68.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT FRI SEP  3 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

45.0N  57.0W      19  9  X  X 28   SYDNEY NS         17  2  X  X 19
47.5N  48.0W       X 11  6  X 17   EDDY POINT NS     21  1  X  X 22
50.0N  38.0W       X  X  8  X  8   PTX BASQUES NFLD   7  2  X  X  9
NANTUCKET MA      14  X  X  X 14   BURGEO NFLD        7  7  X  X 14
HYANNIS MA         2  X  X  X  2   ILE ST PIERRE      9 13  X  X 22
YARMOUTH NS       12  X  X  X 12   CAPE RACE NFLD     1 20  X  X 21
HALIFAX NS        21  X  X  X 21   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X 12  5  X 17
SABLE ISLAND NS   36  X  X  X 36

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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