[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT73 KNHC 302009
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON AUG 30 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 38.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST THU SEP  2 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

46.0N  65.0W      14  X  X  X 14   BAR HARBOR ME     24  X  X  X 24
NEW YORK CITY NY   2  X  X  X  2   EASTPORT ME       21  X  X  X 21
MONTAUK POINT NY  39  X  X  X 39   ST JOHN NB        18  X  X  X 18
PROVIDENCE RI     38  X  X  X 38   MONCTON NB        13  X  X  X 13
NANTUCKET MA      53  X  X  X 53   YARMOUTH NS       20  X  X  X 20
HYANNIS MA        49  X  X  X 49   HALIFAX NS        10  X  X  X 10
BOSTON MA         32  X  X  X 32   EDDY POINT NS      2  X  X  X  2
PORTLAND ME       22  X  X  X 22

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
C FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
D FROM  2PM WED TO  2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


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