[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT73 KNHC 301424
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON AUG 30 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST THU SEP  2 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

44.0N  67.0W      18  6  X  X 24   EASTPORT ME       11 10  X  X 21
48.0N  61.0W       X 11  X  X 11   ST JOHN NB         4 16  X  X 20
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   5  X  X  X  5   MONCTON NB         1 17  X  X 18
NEW YORK CITY NY  15  X  X  X 15   YARMOUTH NS       15  8  X  X 23
MONTAUK POINT NY  48  X  X  X 48   HALIFAX NS         2 15  X  X 17
PROVIDENCE RI     43  X  X  X 43   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  8  X  X  8
NANTUCKET MA      48  X  X  X 48   SYDNEY NS          X 11  X  X 11
HYANNIS MA        45  X  X  X 45   EDDY POINT NS      X 13  X  X 13
BOSTON MA         36  X  X  X 36   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  7  X  X  7
PORTLAND ME       23  1  X  X 24   BURGEO NFLD        X  4  X  X  4
BAR HARBOR ME     19  4  X  X 23   ILE ST PIERRE      X  3  X  X  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


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