[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT72 KNHC 292047
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM GASTON PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN AUG 29 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF GASTON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT WED SEP  1 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

37.0N  78.0W      27  4  X  X 31   HYANNIS MA         X  X  7  4 11
39.5N  75.0W       X 13  5  X 18   BOSTON MA          X  X  7  4 11
41.5N  71.0W       X  X  9  3 12   PORTLAND ME        X  X  4  6 10
BERMUDA            X  X  X  2  2   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  1  8  9
CHARLESTON SC     99  X  X  X 99   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  8  8
MYRTLE BEACH SC   99  X  X  X 99   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  8  8
WILMINGTON NC     44  X  X  X 44   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  7  7
MOREHEAD CITY NC  21  3  X  X 24   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  9  9
CAPE HATTERAS NC  11  9  X  X 20   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  8  8
NORFOLK VA        12 13  1  X 26   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  6  6
OCEAN CITY MD      1 17  2  X 20   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  6  6
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X 11  6  X 17   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  6  6
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  4 10  1 15   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  5  5
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  1 10  2 13   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  4  4
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  9  3 12   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  4  4
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  7  4 11   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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