[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT72 KNHC 290836
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM GASTON PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN AUG 29 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF GASTON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT WED SEP  1 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

35.0N  79.4W      35  1  X  X 36   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X 15 15
36.7N  78.0W       2 19  3  X 24   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X 14 14
38.5N  75.5W       X  1 14  5 20   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X 14 14
SAVANNAH GA       10  1  X  X 11   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X 14 14
CHARLESTON SC     99  X  X  X 99   BOSTON MA          X  X  X 13 13
MYRTLE BEACH SC   62  X  X  X 62   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X 11 11
WILMINGTON NC     25  1  X  X 26   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  9  9
MOREHEAD CITY NC   6 10  3  X 19   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  6  6
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  6 10  1 17   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  4  4
NORFOLK VA         X  7 13  1 21   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  2  2
OCEAN CITY MD      X  1 13  5 19   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  7  7
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  8 10 18   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  3  3
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  3 14 17

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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