[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT72 KNHC 282029
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM GASTON PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT AUG 28 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF GASTON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT TUE AUG 31 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

32.7N  79.7W      59  X  X  X 59   NORFOLK VA         X  1  7  6 14
33.7N  79.6W      30  1  X  X 31   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  2  9 11
34.9N  78.4W      10  6  3  1 20   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  9  9
JACKSONVILLE FL    6  1  X  X  7   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  6  6
SAVANNAH GA       27  1  X  X 28   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  5  5
CHARLESTON SC     47  X  X  X 47   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  3  3
MYRTLE BEACH SC   28  1  X  X 29   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  3  3
WILMINGTON NC     14  4  2  1 21   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  3  3
MOREHEAD CITY NC   3  8  4  2 17   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  2  2
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  5  6  4 15

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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