[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Nashville EMWIN emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Aug 27 22:27:44 CDT 2004


WTUS82 KCHS 280327
HLSCHS
AMZ330-350-352-354-374-GAZ116>119-138>141-SCZ043-047>051-281000-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1124 PM EDT FRI AUG 27 2004

...LITTLE CHANGE IN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN OFF THE SOUTHEAST
COAST...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS OF
MCINTOSH...LIBERTY...BRYAN...AND CHATHAM COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND BEAUFORT...JASPER...COLLETON...AND CHARLESTON COUNTIES IN
SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA
SOUTHWARD TO FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA...WHICH INCLUDES THE ENTIRE
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA COASTS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST OR ABOUT 155 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN INTO
A TROPICAL STORM ON SATURDAY.  TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN IS NEARLY
STATIONARY AND IS FORECAST TO TURN TOWARDS THE WEST ON SATURDAY.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
BECAUSE THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A WEAK TROPICAL STORM AS IT
APPROACHES THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST...STORM SURGE WILL BE MINIMAL.
HOWEVER...ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
EVENINGS...COMBINED WITH STRONG ONSHORE WINDS...WILL INCREASE THE
LIKELIHOOD OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.  STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET
ABOVE PREDICTED LEVELS MAY OCCUR MAINLY OVER SOUTH CAROLINA BEACHES.
OFFSHORE WINDS OVER THE GEORGIA COAST WILL LIMIT THE STORM TIDE SOUTH
OF SAVANNAH.  MINOR BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE.

THE HIGHEST PREDICTED TIDES FOR CHARLESTON HARBOR ARE AT 740 PM
SATURDAY EVENING...AND 831 PM SUNDAY EVENING.

...WIND IMPACTS...
NORTH WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE OVERNIGHT
INTO EARLY SATURDAY WITH THE APPROACH OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN.
BY  LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS MAY
OCCUR OVER THE SOUTH CAROLINA COASTAL WATERS.  BEACHES AND AREAS
FURTHER INLAND CAN EXPECT WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH.  WITH THE CURRENT
FORECAST TRACK...SUSTAINED WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE COULD AFFECT
THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTH CAROLINA SATURDAY NIGHT.  WHILE THE
CURRENT TRACK SHOWS LITTLE WIND EFFECTS FOR COASTAL GEORGIA...A SHIFT
IN THE EXPECTED FORECAST TRACK MAY INCREASE FORECAST WIND SPEEDS
ALONG THE GEORGIA COAST.  ALL RESIDENTS UNDER THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH SHOULD PREPARE FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.

...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS...
SEAS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS
THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION APPROACHES THE COAST.  SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT.  SEAS OF 6 TO 10 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.  AS SWELL BREAKS
ALONG BEACHES SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY...DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS
WILL BE LIKELY.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
WITH THE CURRENT INTENSITY FORECAST...FLOODING RAINS WILL BE THE
PRIMARY THREAT MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA.  RAINFALL
TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES MAY OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA
CLOSER TO THE FORECAST TRACK. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE GEORGIA COAST.  IF THE SYSTEM STRENGTHENS AND
MOVES SLOWLY ACROSS THE REGION...HIGHER RAIN TOTALS WILL BE LIKELY.
WITH THE GROUND STILL FAIRLY SATURATED FROM RECENT RAINS...FLOODING
MAY BE POSSIBLE.  A FLOOD WATCH MAY HAVE TO BE ISSUED ON SATURDAY.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN CAN BE FOUND IN
ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...AS WELL AS
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENTS AND NOWCASTS ISSUED BY THIS OFFICE.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON BY 7 AM.

$$

WWWW
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