[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

Nashville EMWIN emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Aug 27 21:29:24 CDT 2004


WTNT71 KNHC 280228
SPFAT1
HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI AUG 27 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  50.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST MON AUG 30 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

18.3N  53.3W      52  X  X  X 52   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  X  6  6
19.1N  54.9W      19 15  1  X 35   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  X  7  7
19.8N  56.8W       X 18  9  1 28   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  X  2  2
TFFF 146N 610W     X  X  X  2  2   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X  2  2
TDPR 153N 614W     X  X  X  3  3   ST CROIX VI        X  X  X  2  2
TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  X  5  5   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X  2  2
TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  X  7  7

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
C FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
D FROM  8PM SUN TO  8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER JARVINEN


$$
WWWW
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net




More information about the Tropical mailing list