[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT71 KNHC 272036
SPFAT1
HURRICANE FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI AUG 27 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  49.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST MON AUG 30 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

17.9N  52.8W      52  X  X  X 52   TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  X  5  5
18.9N  54.5W      15 20  X  X 35   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  X  6  6
19.7N  56.4W       X 18  9  1 28   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  X  5  5
TFFF 146N 610W     X  X  X  2  2   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  X  5  5
TDPR 153N 614W     X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
C FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
D FROM  2PM SUN TO  2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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