[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

Nashville EMWIN emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Aug 26 09:53:33 CDT 2004


WTNT71 KNHC 261448
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANCES PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU AUG 26 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  45.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT SUN AUG 29 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

15.2N  49.2W      44  1  X  X 45   17.5N  52.3W       1 23  1  2 27
16.4N  51.1W      18 13  X  X 31   TBPB 131N 595W     X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
C FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
D FROM  8AM SAT TO  8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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