[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

Nashville EMWIN emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Aug 19 03:34:10 CDT 2004


WTNT74 KNHC 190833
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST THU AUG 19 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF DANIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  37.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SUN AUG 22 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

31.1N  36.2W      41  X  X  X 41   32.9N  33.6W       2 13  3  2 20
32.0N  35.0W      18  4  1  1 24

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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