[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT74 KNHC 181433
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED AUG 18 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF DANIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  39.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SAT AUG 21 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

31.5N  39.0W      37  X  X  X 37   33.5N  36.0W       4 13  3  1 21
32.5N  37.5W      20  3  1  X 24

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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