[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

Nashville EMWIN emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Aug 18 03:28:53 CDT 2004


WTNT74 KNHC 180828
SPFAT4
HURRICANE DANIELLE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED AUG 18 2004

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF DANIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  40.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SAT AUG 21 2004

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

31.3N  39.5W      29  X  1  X 30   33.8N  37.0W       2 13  3  2 20
32.7N  38.4W      13  7  1  1 22

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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