[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT43 KNHC 150835
TCDAT3
TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DISCUSSION NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN AUG 15 2004

CHARLEY IS JUST BARELY A TROPICAL STORM...WITH ABOUT THE ONLY
EVIDENCE OF TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS REMAINING BEING THE RELATIVELY
SMALL WIND CORE THAT THE CYCLONE HAS POSSESSED SINCE IT FIRST
FORMED.  THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KT AND CENTRAL PRESSURE OF
1012 MB ARE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.  CHARLEY SHOULD BECOME
COMPLETELY EXTRATROPICAL IN 12 HR OR LESS.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 040/26.  CHARLEY SHOULD CONTINUE GENERALLY
NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL THE EXTRATROPICAL REMNANT LOSES ITS IDENTITY IN
A FRONTAL ZONE IN 72-96 HR.

FORECASTER JARVINEN

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      15/0900Z 40.8N  73.0W    35 KT
 12HR VT     15/1800Z 43.5N  69.5W    30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 24HR VT     16/0600Z 45.5N  65.0W    30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 36HR VT     16/1800Z 47.3N  59.9W    30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 48HR VT     17/0600Z 48.4N  55.1W    30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL


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