[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Nashville EMWIN emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Aug 13 14:05:15 CDT 2004


WTUS82 KMFL 131904 AAA
HLSMFL
FLZ063-066>075-132200-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
250 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...HURRICANE CHARLEY FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL IN CHARLOTTE HARBOR
BETWEEN 3 AND 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON...

...INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FOR HENDRY AND GLADES
COUNTIES...
...STORM SURGE FORECAST INCREASED WITH CHANGE IN CHARLEY'S PATH AND
INTENSITY...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO PERSONS IN COLLIER, HENDRY, GLADES,
MAINLAND MONROE, PALM BEACH, BROWARD, AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES WEST OF
NAPLES. CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND
ON THIS TRACK CHARLEY WILL MAKE LANDFALL NEAR CHARLOTTE HARBOR
BETWEEN 3 AND 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR
145 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAKING CHARLEY A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN WIND
SPEED MAY OCCUR BEFORE LANDFALL.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST FROM
EAST CAPE SABLE TO BONITA BEACH. TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FOR
GLADES AND HENDRY. INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FOR
WESTERN PALM BEACH...WESTERN BROWARD...AND WESTERN MIAMI-DADE
COUNTIES IN SOUTH FLORIDA. TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM EAST CAPE
SABLE TO OCEAN REEF. TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST NORTH OF OCEAN REEF INCLUDING BISCAYNE BAY.
FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA. TORNADO WATCH IN
EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA. WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR METRO
PALM BEACH...BROWARD...AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES.

THE COLLIER COUNTY OFFICE OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS ISSUED A
MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR FOR ALL LOCATIONS WEST OF U.S. HIGHWAY 41.
THIS INCLUDES THE COMMUNITIES OF MARCO ISLAND, COPELAND,
CHOKOLOSKEE, EVERGLADES CITY, GOODLAND, ISLES OF CAPRI, NAPLES, AND
NAPLES PARK. IN ADDITION...MOBILE HOME PARKS OUTSIDE THE MANDATORY
EVACUATION AREA HAVE BEEN ADVISED TO EVACUATE. SEVERAL SHELTERS ARE
OPEN IN COLLIER COUNTY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE
AFFECTING THE NAPLES AREA AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ADVISES COLLIER
RESIDENTS IT IS NOT SAFE TO BE OUTDOORS. THE COLLIER COUNTY
INFORMATION LINE FOR RUMOR CONTROL...DAMAGE REPORTS AND INFORMATION
IS 239.774.8444.

OFFICIALS IN HENDRY AND GLADES COUNTIES HAVE RECOMMENDED VOLUNTARY
EVACUATIONS OF MOBILE HOMES. SEVERAL SHELTERS ARE OPEN.

STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED
INLAND FROM THE HURRICANE WARNING ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM PORT
MAYACA SOUTH TO FLORIDA CITY INCLUDING ALL OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE. GUSTS
TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE EAST OF THIS LINE IN METRO PALM
BEACH...BROWARD...AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES INCLUDING WEST PALM
BEACH...FORT LAUDERDALE...AND MIAMI.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
STORM TIDE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
ALONG THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST AND ITS TIDAL ESTUARIES. AS HURRICANE
CHARLEY PASSES AROUND 30 TO 40 NAUTICAL MILES WEST OF NAPLES THIS
AFTERNOON...THE MAXIMUM STORM TIDE IS EXPECTED AROUND 4 TO 6 PM
ACROSS THE AREA.

FOR CHOKOLOSKEE AND EVERGLADES CITY WEST TO MARCO ISLAND...THE
MAXIMUM STORM TIDE...WHICH IS A COMBINATION OF THE NORMAL TIDE LEVEL
PLUS STORM SURGE...WILL BE BETWEEN 5 AND 6 PM EDT ABOUT 7 FEET ABOVE
MEAN SEA LEVEL. THIS MEANS STATE ROADS 29...92...AND 951 AS WELL AS
PART OF U.S. HIGHWAY 41 TAMIAMI TRAIL WILL LIKELY BE UNDERWATER FOR
SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING CUTTING OFF ACCESS.

IN THE NAPLES AREA...THE MAXIMUM STORM TIDE WILL BE AROUND 5 PM EDT
ABOUT 10 TO 11 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THIS WILL LIKELY INUNDATE
SEVERAL STREETS SOUTH OF NAPLES IN THE PORT ROYAL AREA AND NEAR
NAPLES BAY.

THE WORST STORM TIDE WILL BE NORTH OF NAPLES FROM VANDERBILT BEACH TO
THE LEE COUNTY LINE INCLUDING THE MOUTH OF THE COCOHATCHEE RIVER AND
LELY BAREFOOT BEACH. IN THIS AREA THE MAXIMUM STORM TIDE WILL BE
BETWEEN 4 AND 5 PM EDT AT ABOUT 11 TO 13 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.
THIS WILL CAUSE EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN THE BONITA SHORES AREA AS WELL
AS VANDERBILT BEACH AND PELICAN BAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BLOW THE WATER IN LAKE OKEECHOBEE
TOWARD THE NORTH AND WEST SHORES...RESULTING IN WATER LEVELS AS MUCH
AS 4 FEET HIGHER ALONG THESE SHORES. THE LAKE LEVEL THURSDAY MORNING
WAS ABOUT 12.6 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL...SO LAKE ELEVATIONS ALONG
THE NORTH AND WEST SHORE COULD REACH AS HIGH AS 17 FEET THIS
AFTERNOON AS CHARLEY MOVES NORTH. ALTHOUGH THE HOOVER DIKE EXTENDS
ALMOST ALL THE WAY AROUND LAKE OKEECHOBEE...BACKWATER MAY BE PUSHED
WEST INTO THE FISHEATING CREEK BASIN RESULTING IN SOME MINOR FLOODING
ALONG THE MOUTH OF THE CREEK.

...WIND IMPACTS...
AT 2 PM...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WERE OCCURRING IN THE GULF COASTAL
WATERS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND WIND GUSTS AT THE ISLE OF CAPRI WERE
65 MPH. WINDS WILL BE INCREASING STEADILY INTO THE LATE AFTERNOON
HOURS WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS HURRICANE FORCE IN SQUALLS. THE WINDS
WILL CAUSE EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD POWER
OUTAGES WHICH COULD LAST FOR A WEEK OR MORE.

WINDS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO 75 MPH WILL SPREAD
INLAND ACROSS INLAND COLLIER AND ACROSS HENDRY...GLADES COUNTIES.
WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH WILL SPREAD ACROSS
WESTERN PALM BEACH AND THE EVERGLADES OF FAR WESTERN BROWARD...AND
MIAMI-DADE DURING THIS AFTERNOON.

WINDS IN THE METRO AREAS OF MIAMI-DADE...BROWARD AND PALM BEACH
COUNTIES WILL BE 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH...ESPECIALLY IN
RAINBANDS THAT WILL PERIODICALLY MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
COASTAL WATERS THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON...AND THEN SLOWLY SUBSIDE LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL
AFFECT LAKE OKEECHOBEE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. MARINERS
SHOULD ALREADY HAVE COMPLETED PREPARATIONS AND BE SAFELY SECURED IN
PORT.

RIP CURRENTS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL MAKE SWIMMING OR
SURFING IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AND ATLANTIC OCEAN DANGEROUS.

...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS...
MOST OF SOUTH FLORIDA RECEIVED 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN OVERNIGHT AS THE
FIRST RAINBANDS FROM CHARLEY MOVED THROUGH. BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TODAY...WITH BURSTS OF TORRENTIAL RAIN IN
SQUALLS ESPECIALLY ALONG THE GULF COAST. SPIRAL BANDS WILL PRODUCE
BRIEF HEAVY RAINS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST AS WELL. STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
WITH 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER THE INTERIOR AND SOUTHEAST COAST OF FLORIDA.
THIS HEAVY RAIN MAY CAUSE FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN POORLY DRAINED
AREAS INCLUDING UNDERPASSES AND DRAINAGE DITCHES. MANY ROADWAYS WILL
BE UNDER WATER AND ACCESS COULD BE CUT OFF TO LOW LYING AREAS ALONG
THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.

...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS..
SEVERAL TORNADOES HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE THREAT
OF TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT AND A TORNADO WATCH
CONTINUES IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING HURRICANE
CHARLEY WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 4 PM EDT.

$$
LUSHINE/PS

















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