[Tropical] Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

Nashville EMWIN emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Aug 13 13:28:59 CDT 2004


WTNT33 KNHC 131828
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004



A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE
DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER.

AT 2 PM EDT A HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
COAST FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE
ALSO ISSUED FROM NORTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO CAPE LOOKOUT
NORTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA
MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH FLORIDA...
INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND FLORIDA BAY.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA
INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 2 PM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.4 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY
OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR FLORIDA LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 145 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONCENTRATED IN A VERY SMALL AREA
NEAR THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN WIND SPEED
MAY OCCUR BEFORE LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER
TODAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 15 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND
SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE NORTHEAST
FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH
LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN UNITED STATES.  THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...26.0 NORTH... 82.4 WEST.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...145 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 954 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM EDT.




$$


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