[Tropical] Tropical Cyclone Discussion

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTNT43 KNHC 131813
TCDAT3
HURRICANE CHARLEY SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

RECENT AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE REPORTS ALONG WITH RADAR AND
SATELLITE DATA SHOW THAT WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 125 KT.  THE TRACK
HAS ALSO SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY
FORECAST WHICH SHIFTS THE GREATEST RISK TO THE AREA OF CHARLOTTE
HARBOR FLORIDA.  THESE CHANGES REQUIRE THE ISSUANCE OF THIS SPECIAL
ADVISORY.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      13/1800Z 26.0N  82.4W   125 KT
 12HR VT     14/0000Z 27.5N  81.8W   100 KT...INLAND
 24HR VT     14/1200Z 31.5N  80.0W    65 KT...OVER WATER
 36HR VT     15/0000Z 36.0N  77.5W    50 KT...INLAND
 48HR VT     15/1200Z 40.5N  74.5W    30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 72HR VT     16/1200Z 46.5N  68.5W    30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
 96HR VT     17/1200Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM


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