[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTUS82 KTBW 131552
HLSTBW
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-131830-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE CHARLEY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1128 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE CHARLEY WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

...HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COASTAL AREA...

...AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR INLAND COUNTIES
OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA THROUGH SATURDAY...

...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PINELLAS...HILLSBOROUGH...
POLK...HARDEE...DESOTO...HIGHLANDS...MANATEE...SARASOTA...CHARLOTTE
AND LEE COUNTIES UNTIL 5 PM...


A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA:

  CHARLOTTE                        CITRUS
  DE SOTO                          HARDEE
  HERNANDO                         HIGHLANDS
  HILLSBOROUGH                     LEE
  LEVY                             MANATEE
  PASCO                            PINELLAS
  POLK                             SARASOTA
  SUMTER

INCLUDING...
THE COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE
RIVER...CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND TAMPA BAY.

AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA:

   HARDEE
   HIGHLANDS
   POLK
   SUMTER

...STORM LOCATION...
AT 11 AM EDT...THE EYE OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.8 WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES SOUTH OF
SARASOTA FLORIDA OR ABOUT 103 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS...AND 175
MILES SOUTH OF TAMPA.  CHARLEY WAS MOVING TO THE NORTH NEAR 18 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 110 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS...AND
SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AS THE STORM CONTINUES TO
MOVE OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO. CHARLEY
COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
REMAINS AT 965 MB...OR 28.49 INCHES.


...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
WITH CHARLEY EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY...THEN ACCELERATE...ALONG THE
SUNCOAST...THE THREAT OF A RAPIDLY DEVELOPING STORM SURGE IN THE
STORM'S SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE IS GREAT.  CURRENT INDICATIONS SUGGEST
THE HIGHEST SURGE WILL OCCUR FROM THE COUNTIES NEAR TAMPA BAY SOUTH
TO LEE COUNTY.

A STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE
CHARLEY MAKES LANDFALL.  A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 7 FEET IS POSSIBLE
NORTH OF WHERE CHARLEY MOVES ONSHORE AS THE WINDS COME AROUND TO THE
WEST BEHIND THE STORM.

...WIND IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO EFFECT SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
FROM AROUND NOON FOR APPROXIMATELY 12 HOURS...CENTRAL WEST FLORIDA
FROM AROUND 3 PM FOR APPROXIMATELY 12 HOURS...AND THE NATURE COAST
FROM AROUND 5 PM FOR APPROXIMATELY 12 HOURS. WITH HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS AND GUSTS GENERALLY 3 TO 5 HOURS WITH STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE
COAST. THESE TIMES AND STRENGTHENS SUBJECT TO CHANGE WITH ANY FUTURE
TRACK OR SPEED ADJUSTMENTS.

CHARLEY IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AND COULD BECOME A CATEGORY THREE
HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE SUNCOAST LATER THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
WINDS IN THE INNER EYEWALL PERHAPS AT LEAST 130 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. HOWEVER...NO MATTER WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES...CURRENT
FORECAST DATA SUGGEST TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH
WILL AFFECT ALL AREAS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY.

...VERY DANGEROUS WINDS WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD DAMAGE...
...DESTRUCTION OF MOBILE HOMES NEAR THE CENTER OF THE STORM IS
POSSIBLE...

...STRUCTURAL DAMAGE...
THE MAJORITY OF MOBILE HOMES WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED NEAR WHERE THE
STORM MAKES LANDFALL.  HOUSES OF POOR TO AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION WILL
HAVE SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE...INCLUDING PARTIAL WALL COLLAPSE AND ROOFS
BEING LIFTED OFF. MANY WILL BE UNINHABITABLE. WELL CONSTRUCTED HOUSES
WILL INCUR MINOR DAMAGE TO SHINGLES...SIDING...GUTTERS...AS WELL AS
BLOWN OUT WINDOWS.

PARTIAL ROOF FAILURE IS EXPECTED AT INDUSTRIAL PARKS...ESPECIALLY TO
THOSE BUILDINGS WITH LIGHT WEIGHT STEEL AND ALUMINUM COVERINGS. OLDER
LOW RISING APARTMENT ROOFS MAY ALSO BE TORN OFF...AS WELL AS
RECEIVING SIDING AND SHINGLE DAMAGE. MUCH OF THE GLASS IN HIGH RISE
OFFICE BUILDINGS WILL BE BLOWN OUT. AIRBORNE DEBRIS WILL CAUSE
DAMAGE...INJURY...AND POSSIBLE FATALITIES.

...NATURAL DAMAGE...
ALL TREES WITH ROTTING BASES WILL BECOME UPROOTED OR SNAP. NEARLY ALL
LARGE BRANCHES WILL SNAP...AND MAJOR DAMAGE CAN BE EXPECTED TO
CITRUS GROVES...INCLUDING NUMEROUS UPROOTED TREES...MOST COMMON WHERE
THE GROUND IS SATURATED.

RESIDENTS IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT THEIR PROPERTY...THEN MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY.

IN RURAL LOCATIONS...SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS WILL SURPASS BANK
FULL FOR MORE THAN 6 HOURS.

URBAN AREAS WILL SEE SIGNIFICANT FLOODING AS RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8
INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE STORM SURGE WILL LIMIT
EVACUATION OF THE WATER.

HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE RIVERS TO SWELL LONG AFTER THE STORM PASSES.
PERSONS LIVING ALONG RIVERS SHOULD MONITOR EVENTS THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE TAMPA BAY AREA FORECAST
OFFICE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 2 PM EDT.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
DANGEROUS HURRICANE. HEED ALL EVACUATION ORDERS FROM LAW ENFORCEMENT
OR MILITARY PERSONNEL.

$$
LINHARES
$$


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