[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTUS82 KJAX 130105 CCA
HLSJAX
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-
GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-130300-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED STORM POSITION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
835 PM EDT THU AUG 12 2004

...HURRICANE CHARLEY CONTINUES INTENSIFYING SOUTH OF CUBA...

...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA
COAST FROM JUPITER INLET FLORIDA NORTH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OF NORTH FLORIDA...ALACHUA...BAKER...BRADFORD...
CLAY...COLUMBIA...DUVAL...FLAGLER...GILCHRIST...HAMILTON...MARION...
NASSAU...PUTNAM...ST JOHNS...SUWANNEE AND UNION AND THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...APPLING...ATKINSON...BACON...
BRANTLEY...CAMDEN...CHARLTON...CLINCH...COFFEE...ECHOLS...GLYNN...
JEFF DAVIS...PIERCE...WARE...WAYNE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA THROUGH 900 PM THIS EVENING. AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FOR ALACHUA...MARION AND GILCHRIST COUNTIES.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA EAST
COAST FROM JUPITER INLET NORTH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND INCLUDING
CAMDEN...DUVAL... FLAGLER...GLYNN...NASSAU AND ST JOHNS COUNTIES.
AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES OF NORTH
FLORIDA...BAKER...BRADFORD...CLAY...COLUMBIA...HAMILTON...PUTNAM...
SUWANNEE...UNION AND ALSO FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA...APPLING...ATKINSON...BACON...BRANTLEY...
CAMDEN...CHARLTON...CLINCH...COFFEE...ECHOLS...GLYNN...JEFF
DAVIS...PIERCE...WARE... AND WAYNE. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
ALL OF NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.3 WEST OR JUST EAST OF THE
ISLE OF YOUTH CUBA.  THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 90 MILES...145 KM...SOUTH OF
HAVANA CUBA.  THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH
...30 KM/HR.  A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...CHARLEY IS EXPECTED TO
PASS NEAR THE ISLE OF YOUTH TONIGHT AND NEAR HAVANA CUBA FRIDAY
MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THIS MAKES CHARLEY A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND CHARLEY COULD BECOME A MAJOR
HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR ON FRIDAY.

IT REMAINS TOO EARLY TO SPECULATE ON EXACT LOCAL EFFECTS FROM
CHARLEY. ERRORS IN THE FORECAST TRACK AT 36 HOURS ARE NEAR 125 MILES.
INTERESTS IN THE REGION...INCLUDING INLAND AREAS...SHOULD CONTINUE
TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE FUTURE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE CHARLEY.  IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY DEVELOP
OVER SOME PORTIONS OF THE AREA FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF THEIR LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT AGENCY.  POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOME PORTION
OF THE AREA. INTERESTS IN THE NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
AREA SHOULD HAVE FLASHLIGHTS...BATTERIES AND A BATTERY OPERATED
RADIO IN CASE OF POWER OUTAGE. NEVER USE CANDLES DUE TO THE HIGH
RISK OF FIRE. RESIDENTS SHOULD HAVE A FULLY STOCKED HURRICANE
PREPAREDNESS KIT IN PLACE. A SUPPLY OF DRINKING WATER...BABY SUPPLIES
AND ANY PRESCRIPTION MEDICATION ARE THE HIGHEST PRIORITIES FOR YOUR
KIT.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE
PARALLEL TO THE COAST INITIALLY.  THEREFORE ONLY MINOR TIDAL SURGE
FLOODING IS EXPECTED WITH TIDES ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST PEAKING
ABOUT 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL.

...WIND IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM AND POSSIBLY HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP OVER THE WATCH AREA AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS FRIDAY
EVENING. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY
MORNING. AT THIS TIME...THE HIGHEST RISK OF SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS WILL BE OVER ALACHUA...MARION AND GILCHRIST COUNTIES.
HOWEVER...A SLIGHT DEVIATION IN THE STORM TRACK...INTENSITY OR
FORWARD MOTION...COULD BRING HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO OTHER PORTIONS
OF NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. INTERESTS IN NORTH FLORIDA
AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA ARE URGED TO KEEP ABREAST OF THE LATEST
FORECASTS...WATCHES...AND WARNINGS RELATIVE TO HURRICANE CHARLEY.
WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE NECESSARY FOR SOME PORTION OR ALL OF THE
WATCH AREA ON FRIDAY.

...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. MARINERS ARE ADVISED TO
REMAIN IN PORT.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND INTO
TOMORROW ASSOCIATED WITH MOISTURE AS THE HURRICANE MOVES NORTH.
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED AS CHARLEY MOVES OVER THE
REGION. RIVER LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY LOW AND...AT THIS TIME...NO
SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED. FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS IS POSSIBLE AND INTERESTS IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ARE ADVISED TO
PREPARE FOR THIS POSSIBILITY. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF
NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. AREAS
OF THE LOWER AND MIDDLE SUWANNEE VALLEY ARE NEAR SATURATION AND MAY
EXPERIENCE LOCALIZED FLOODING PRIOR TO HURRICANE LANDFALL.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THERE WILL BE A POSSIBLE RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING AS TROPICAL MOISTURE...A FRONTAL SYSTEM...AND APPROACHING
HURRICANE CHARLEY ALL INTERACT ACROSS THE REGION. TORNADOES CAN AND
DO FORM WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING...REMAIN ALERT FOR DETERIORATING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA AT 1100 PM EST OR EARLIER SHOULD
CONDITIONS WARRANT. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR THE LATEST UPDATES ON HURRICANE CHARLEY.

$$

WELSH




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