[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Nashville EMWIN emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Aug 12 16:18:29 CDT 2004


WTUS82 KMLB 122118
HLSMLB
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
130400-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
516 PM EDT THU AUG 12 2004

...HURRICANE CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AND HEADS FOR FLORIDA WEST COAST...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FROM
JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN
BY RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...VOLUSIA...LAKE...SEMINOLE...
ORANGE...BREVARD...OSCEOLA...INDIAN RIVER...ST. LUCIE...MARTIN AND
OKEECHOBEE.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MARTIN...ST. LUCIE...INDIAN
RIVER...BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA UNTIL 9 PM THIS EVENING. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH
FRIDAY. AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE COUNTY
FRIDAY. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
SEMINOLE...ORANGE...OSCEOLA...AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES FRIDAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED
ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA. CHARLEY IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE
PROGRESS OF HURRICANE CHARLEY. AS WITH ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE
FORECAST TRACK.  A SMALL DEVIATION TO THE EAST OF THE STORM
TRACK WOULD BRING MUCH STRONGER WINDS INTO THE ORLANDO METROPOLITAN
AREA AND SEMINOLE AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES. RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR
HIGH WINDS ESPECIALLY NORTH AND WEST OF THE ORLANDO METROPOLITAN
AREA. CONSIDER TAKING PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES AT THIS TIME INCLUDING
APPLYING PROTECTIVE COVERING ON WINDOWS AND CHECKING THE SECURITY OF
DOORS AND GARAGES. FASTEN DOWN ANY LOOSE DOORS AND WINDOWS AND MOVE
ANY OTHER LOOSE OUTDOOR ITEMS THAT CAN BE CARRIED AWAY BY THE WIND
INDOORS. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR
A PORTION OF THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST LATER TONIGHT.

...WIND IMPACTS...
ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO LAKE...OKEECHOBEE...WESTERN MARTIN AND
ST LUCIE COUNTIES BY EARLY AFTERNOON FRIDAY...AND THEN SPREAD
INTO OSCEOLA...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...BREVARD AND VOLUSIA
COUNTIES BY EARLY EVENING. SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO PASS JUST WEST OF LAKE COUNTY BEGINNING AROUND 6 PM ON
FRIDAY. BUT WIND GUSTS NEAR 75 MPH MAY OCCUR WEST OF A LINE FROM
ORLANDO TO DAYTONA BEACH.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
BECAUSE THE PREVAILING WIND ALONG THE COAST WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH
AND THEN SOUTHWEST...NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED WITH
CHARLEY. BUT AS SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS DEVELOP ALONG
THE COAST VERY ROUGH CONDITIONS WILL SET UP ALONG THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY. THIS COULD CAUSE SOME MINOR FLOODING IN LOW AREAS AND
DAMAGE TO BOATS...DOCKS AND PIERS.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. THERE
IS POSSIBILITY OF FOUR TO EIGHT INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE AREA AS
CHARLEY PASSES THROUGH THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD UP THE COAST BEGINNING FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. THERE WILL BE AN ADDITIONAL
THREAT OF STRONG WIND GUSTS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADIC
WATERSPOUTS IN THE RAIN BANDS THAT WILL FEED INTO CHARLEY AS THEY
MOVE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS ONTO SHORE.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH
9 PM THIS EVENING. SMALL TORNADOES NOT ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE
CHARLEY HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN MARTIN AND ST. LUCIE COUNTIES
THIS AFTERNOON CAUSING MINOR DAMAGE. THE TORNADO THREAT IS EXPECTED
TO DIMINISH TEMPORARILY THIS EVENING. THE TRACK OF HURRICANE
CHARLEY WILL PUT ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA IN THE RIGHT FRONT
QUADRANT OF ITS CIRCULATION WHICH IS THE MOST FAVORABLE AREA FOR
TORNADO DEVELOPMENT. TORNADO WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED
FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL
INCREASE FRIDAY MORNING AS THE FIRST OUTER RAINBANDS FROM HURRICANE
CHARLEY MOVE NORTH INTO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AND GRADUALLY SPREAD
NORTHWARD DURING THE DAY.


...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND MIDNIGHT OR
SOONER OF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...SEE THE
MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT:

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB

$$

DECKER/HAGEMEYER

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