[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Nashville EMWIN emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Aug 12 01:34:41 CDT 2004


WTUS82 KEYW 120634
HLSEYW
FLZ076-077-078-GMZ031-032-033-052-053-054-072-073-074-075-121000-

HURRICANE CHARLEY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
300 AM EDT THU AUG 12 2004

...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS
INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...

...MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR VISITORS AND NON RESIDENTS HAS BEEN
ORDERED FROM MILE MARKER 72 TO KEY WEST...

...VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR VISITORS AND NON RESIDENTS IN THE UPPER
KEYS...

...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE...
THE STORM INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
PROTECTIVE ACTION INFORMATION.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR VISITORS AND NON RESIDENTS FROM MILE
MARKER 72 TO KEY WEST HAS BEEN ORDERED...AND A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION
FOR VISITORS AND NON RESIDENTS IN THE UPPER KEYS IS IN EFFECT. A
MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR VISITORS AND NON RESIDENTS OF THE UPPER
KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM THIS MORNING. THERE ARE NO RESIDENT
EVACUATIONS REQUIRED AS OF THIS ISSUANCE. MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE STORM AND ISSUE FURTHER
EVACUATIONS AND OTHER PROTECTIVE ACTIONS AS NECESSARY. RESIDENTS OF
THE FLORIDA KEYS ARE URGED TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF FAIR WEATHER THIS
MORNING TO COMPLETE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS...INCLUDING SECURING YOUR
HOUSE AND PROPERTY...AND OBTAINING HURRICANE SUPPLIES. STAY TUNED TO
LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION FOR ANY NOTICES FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

FOR THOSE NEEDING TRANSPORTATION FOR EVACUATION...GREYHOUND BUS
LINES WILL HAVE BUSES LEAVING KEY WEST AT 600 AM...845 AM...1130
AM...AND 545 PM TODAY...AND WILL SCHEDULE EXTRA BUSES IF THERE IS A
DEMAND. CONTACT GREYHOUND IN KEY WEST FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON
DEPARTURE TIMES AND STATION LOCATIONS.

PLEASE CHECK WITH YOUR AIRLINE OR RENTAL CAR COMPANY ON SCHEDULES
AND AVAILABILITY IF YOU ARE CONSIDERING AIR OR VEHICLE TRAVEL OFF
THE KEYS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS TO
BE TAKEN IN THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING THE AFFECTS
OF HURRICANE CHARLEY.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE
COUNTY...FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER AND STORM SURGE...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36
HOURS.

...STORM INFORMATION....
AT 200 AM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.2 WEST...OR ABOUT 480 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST. CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST
NEAR 15 MPH...AND A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED
INTENSIFICATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY A
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 989 MB...29.20 INCHES.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR NORMAL THROUGH TONIGHT.
ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL BE AT 753 AM THIS MORNING AND 951 PM
THIS EVENING AT KEY WEST HARBOR...AND AT 642 AM THIS MORNING AND
840 PM THIS EVENING AT VACA CUT IN MARATHON. THERE IS A POTENTIAL
FOR SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH THE HIGH TIDES THURSDAY
EVENING AND FRIDAY MORNING. AS HURRICANE CHARLEY IS CURRENTLY
FORECAST TO PASS JUST WEST OF THE KEYS...THE GREATEST THREAT OF
STORM SURGE WILL BE ALONG THE SOUTHERN...ATLANTIC SHORES OF THE KEYS.

...WIND IMPACTS...
CURRENTLY...WINDS OVER THE KEYS ARE FROM THE EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO
15 MPH. ALONG THE REEF...AUTOMATED COASTAL STATIONS REPORT EAST
WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER THE KEYS COASTAL
WATERS...NOT IN DIRECT ASSOCIATION WITH HURRICANE CHARLEY...MAY
BRING BRIEF GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS OVER THE KEYS WATERS EARLY THIS
MORNING. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT THESE SPEEDS THIS
MORNING...AND BEGIN TO INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE MIDDLE AND LOWER
KEYS AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE LOWER KEYS AND KEY WEST...EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACT...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS MAY BEGIN TO DEVELOP OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS THURSDAY EVENING. MARINERS SHOULD USE THE
DAYLIGHT HOURS TODAY TO SECURE THEIR CRAFT...AND ARE ADVISED NOT
TO LEAVE PORT THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING...WHEN CONDITIONS OVER
THE FLORIDA STRAITS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE.

...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACT...
RAINFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH HURRICANE CHARLEY
THIS EVENING INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY
PRODUCE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...ESPECIALLY
IF STORM SURGE FLOODING PREVENTS RAINWATER DRAINAGE.

...PROBABILITIES...
THE CHANCE THAT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WILL PASS WITHIN 75
MILES OF KEY WEST IS CURRENTLY 35 PERCENT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE CHARLEY
TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AT 600 AM EDT.
$$

LK


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