[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[Nashville EMWIN]

WTUS82 KEYW 112202 CCA
HLSEYW
FLZ076-077-078-GMZ031-032-033-052-053-054-072-073-074-075-120100-

HURRICANE CHARLEY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
600 PM EDT WED AUG 11 2004


...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS
INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...

...MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR VISITORS AND NON RESIDENTS HAS BEEN
ORDERED FROM MILE MARKER 72 TO KEY WEST...

...VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR VISITORS AND NON RESIDENTS IN THE UPPER
KEYS...

...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE...
THE STORM INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
TIMING OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS UPDATED.
VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR UPPER KEYS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR VISITORS AND NON RESIDENTS FROM MILE MARKER
72 TO KEY WEST AND VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR VISITORS AND NON
RESIDENTS IN THE UPPER KEYS. THERE ARE NO RESIDENT EVACUATIONS
REQUIRED AS OF THIS ISSUANCE. MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE STORM AND ISSUE FURTHER EVACUATIONS IF
NECESSARY. RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS ARE URGED TO TAKE ADVANTAGE
OF CLEAR WEATHER THIS EVENING TO COMPLETE PROTECTIVE
ACTIONS...INCLUDING SECURING YOUR HOUSEHOLD...AND OBTAINING
HURRICANE SUPPLIES. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION FOR ANY
NOTICES FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS TO
BE TAKEN IN THE MIDDLE AND LOWER KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING
THE AFFECTS OF HURRICANE CHARLEY.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE
COUNTY...FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER AND STORM SURGE...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36
HOURS.

...STORM INFORMATION....
AT 500 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.5 WEST...OR ABOUT 590 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST. CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST
NEAR 17 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...OR 29.32
INCHES.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR NORMAL THROUGH TONIGHT.
ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL BE AT 917 PM TONIGHT AND 753 AM
TOMORROW AT KEY WEST HARBOR...AND AT 806 PM TONIGHT AND 642 AM
TOMORROW AT VACA CUT IN MARATHON. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH THE HIGH TIDE THURSDAY
EVENING. AS HURRICANE CHARLEY IS CURRENT FORECAST TO PASS JUST
WEST OF THE KEYS...THE GREATEST THREAT OF STORM SURGE WILL BE ALONG
THE SOUTHERN...ATLANTIC SHORES OF THE KEYS.

...WIND IMPACTS...
CURRENTLY...WINDS OVER THE KEYS ARE FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT NEAR 10
MPH. ALONG THE REEF...AUTOMATED COASTAL STATIONS REPORT SOUTHEAST
WINDS NEAR 10 KNOTS. ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER THE STRAITS...NOT IN
ASSOCIATION WITH HURRICANE CHARLEY...MAY BRING BRIEF GUSTS UP TO 20
KNOTS THIS EVENING. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT THESE
SPEEDS TODAY...AND BEGIN TO INCREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE MIDDLE AND LOWER KEYS AND
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE LOWER KEYS AND KEY WEST...EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.

...OTHER IMPACTS...

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACT...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS MAY BEGIN TO DEVELOP OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS THURSDAY EVENING. MARINERS SHOULD USE THE
DAYLIGHT HOURS TODAY TO SECURE THEIR CRAFT...AND ARE ADVISED NOT TO
LEAVE PORT THURSDAY EVENING...WHEN CONDITIONS OVER THE FLORIDA
STRAITS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE.

...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACT...
RAINFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH HURRICANE
CHARLEY. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...ESPECIALLY IF STORM SURGE FLOODING PREVENTS
RAINWATER DRAINAGE LATER THURSDAY.

...PROBABILITIES...
THE CHANCE THAT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WILL PASS
WITHIN 75 MILES OF KEY WEST IS CURRENTLY 33 PERCENT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF HURRICANE CHARLEY
TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AT 900 PM EDT.
$$

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