[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

Nashville EMWIN emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Aug 11 13:51:26 CDT 2004


WTUS82 KEYW 111850 CCA
HLSEYW
FLZ076-077-078-GMZ031-032-033-052-053-054-072-073-074-075-112200-

HURRICANE CHARLEY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
230 PM EDT WED AUG 11 2004

...CHARLEY IS NOW A HURRICANE...

...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM CRAIG KEY TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...

...MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR VISITORS AND N0N RESIDENTS HAS BEEN
ORDERED FROM MILE MARKER 72 TO KEY WEST...

...TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY LOCATED IN THE CARIBBEAN SEA ABOUT 90
MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA...

...NEW INFORMATION SINCE LAST ISSUANCE...
THE STORM INFORMATION HAS BEEN UPDATED.
STORM UPGRADED TO HURRICANE

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR VISITORS AND NON RESIDENTS FROM MILE MARKER
72 TO KEY WEST. THERE ARE NO RESIDENT EVACUATIONS AS OF THIS
ISSUANCE. MONROE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE STORM AND ISSUE FURTHER EVACUATIONS IF NECESSARY.
RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS ARE URGED TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF CLEAR
WEATHER TODAY TO COMPLETE PROTECTIVE ACTIONS...INCLUDING SECURING
YOUR HOUSEHOLD...AND OBTAINING HURRICANE SUPPLIES. STAY TUNED TO
LOCAL RADIO AND TELEVISION FOR ANY NOTICES FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT DETAILS SPECIFIC PREPAREDNESS AND SAFETY ACTIONS TO
BE TAKEN IN THE MIDDLE AND LOWER KEYS OF MONROE COUNTY CONCERNING
THE AFFECTS OF TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY.

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS OF MONROE
COUNTY...FROM CRAIG KEY TO DRY TORTUGAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...INCLUDING WINDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER AND
STORM SURGE...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36 HOURS.

...STORM INFORMATION....
AT 200 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.8 WEST...OR ABOUT 635 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST. CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST
NEAR 18 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR SO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...OR 29.31
INCHES.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR NORMAL THROUGH TONIGHT.
ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL BE AT 917 PM TONIGHT AND 753 AM
TOMORROW AT KEY WEST HARBOR...AND AT 806 PM TONIGHT AND 642 AM
TOMORROW AT VACA CUT IN MARATHON. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING WITH THE HIGH TIDE THURSDAY
EVENING. AS TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY IS CURRENT FORECAST TO PASS JUST
WEST OF THE KEYS...THE GREATEST THREAT OF STORM SURGE WILL BE ALONG
THE SOUTHERN...ATLANTIC SHORES OF THE KEYS.

...WIND IMPACTS...
CURRENTLY...WINDS OVER THE KEYS ARE FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT NEAR 10
MPH. ALONG THE REEF...AUTOMATED COASTAL STATIONS REPORT SOUTHEAST
WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS. ISOLATED
SHOWERS OVER THE STRAITS...NOT IN ASSOCIATION WITH TROPICAL STORM
CHARLEY...MAY BRING BRIEF GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. THESE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT THESE SPEEDS TODAY...AND BEGIN TO
INCREASE TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE
MIDDLE AND LOWER KEYS AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS BY LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...ESPECIALLY IN THE LOWER KEYS AND KEY WEST...THURSDAY EVENING.

...OTHER IMPACTS...

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACT...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS MAY BEGIN TO DEVELOP OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. MARINERS SHOULD USE THE
DAYLIGHT HOURS TODAY TO SECURE THEIR CRAFT...AND ARE ADVISED NOT TO
LEAVE PORT TONIGHT...WHEN CONDITIONS OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS ARE
EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE.

...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACT...
RAINFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH TROPICAL STORM
CHARLEY. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...ESPECIALLY IF STORM SURGE FLOODING PREVENTS
RAINWATER DRAINAGE LATER THURSDAY.

...PROBABILITIES...
THE CHANCE THAT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY WILL PASS
WITHIN 75 MILES OF KEY WEST IS CURRENTLY 29 PERCENT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT CONCERNING THE IMPACTS OF TROPICAL STORM
CHARLEY TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE ISSUED AT 600 PM EDT.
$$

DEVANAS

















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