[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Aug 9 23:30:51 CDT 2023


ACUS11 KWNS 100430
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100430
TNZ000-MSZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-100630-

Mesoscale Discussion 1929
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1130 PM CDT Wed Aug 09 2023

Areas affected...Mid-South

Concerning...Tornado Watch 621...622...

Valid 100430Z - 100630Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 621, 622 continues.

SUMMARY...Strong/severe thunderstorms will spread across western TN
and northern MS early this morning.

DISCUSSION...Convection that initiated over the Ozarks early this
evening has grown upscale and an MCS is now propagating southeast
across the Mid-South. An MCV may be forming over the Bootheel of MO
which supports the overall organization of this complex. Latest
radar data suggests earlier discrete updrafts have mostly merged
into the larger complex and the primary storm mode may remain an MCS
or organized clusters the rest of tonight. While wind will likely be
the primary severe threat, damaging winds have not been that common
with this complex and winds have recently only gusted to 37kt at JBR
when the leading edge of the MCS passed through Jonesboro AR.

..Darrow.. 08/10/2023

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON   36528962 36228804 35608775 34958879 34829037 35329064
            35828985 36528962
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