[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 010614
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010613
TNZ000-ALZ000-KYZ000-MSZ000-010745-

Mesoscale Discussion 0424
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0113 AM CDT Sat Apr 01 2023

Areas affected...Middle Tennessee...northeastern Mississippi...and
northwestern Alabama

Concerning...Tornado Watch 101...

Valid 010613Z - 010745Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 101 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe storms -- capable of producing damaging winds and
tornadoes -- continue moving eastward across the Tennessee Valley
area.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a band of storms moving across
Middle Tennessee and northeastern Mississippi at this time, with
several embedded severe/rotating storms.  Along with risk for wind
gusts in the 60 to 70 MPH range, a few storms appear to be either
currently tornadic, or capable of producing a tornado in the near
term.

Two of these supercells -- one now moving into southern Prentiss
County in northeastern Mississippi and the other crossing central
Pontotoc County in northeastern Mississippi -- both appear to have
produced tornadoes within the past 15 to 30 minutes.

Given the degree of shear indicated by KGWX and KHTX WSR-88d VWPs,
and mixed-layer CAPE in the 1000 to 1500 J/kg range, the environment
downstream from the ongoing storms remains favorable to support a
continuation of risk through the remainder of WW 101, and
potentially farther east still -- which may require new/downstream
WW issuance into eastern Tennessee.

..Goss.. 04/01/2023

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...

LAT...LON   33808935 34278939 35478738 36658610 36058477 33998706
            33808935
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