[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Mar 28 01:59:10 CDT 2021


ACUS11 KWNS 280657
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280657
TNZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-280830-

Mesoscale Discussion 0295
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0157 AM CDT Sun Mar 28 2021

Areas affected...Parts of northeastern Mississippi...northern
Alabama...adjacent southern Tennessee and northwestern Georgia

Concerning...Tornado Watch 64...65...

Valid 280657Z - 280830Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 64, 65 continues.

SUMMARY...A squall line will rapidly overspread the region through
5-6 AM CDT, posing a risk for potentially damaging surface gusts
and/or brief tornadoes.

DISCUSSION...The southern flank of the more intense portion of the
ongoing larger-scale squall line appears likely to rapidly
overspread much of northern Alabama, adjacent southern Tennessee and
northwestern Georgia through 10-11Z.  This convection is embedded
within intensifying southwesterly lower/mid tropospheric wind fields
(including in excess of 50 kt around 850 mb), with associated
strengthening low-level shear contributing to the evolution of a
number of cyclonic mesoscale circulations.  With a relatively warm
and moist boundary layer remaining potentially moderately unstable
across much of northern Alabama, inflow of this air should maintain
renewed vigorous thunderstorm development.

..Kerr.. 03/28/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   34208862 34898761 35338622 35188517 34258531 33678714
            33678875 34208862
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