[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu Mar 25 21:09:27 CDT 2021


ACUS11 KWNS 260207
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260207
KYZ000-TNZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-260330-

Mesoscale Discussion 0267
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0907 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

Areas affected...Southern IN...Central/eastern KY...Middle/eastern
TN

Concerning...Tornado Watch 51...

Valid 260207Z - 260330Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 51 continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across WW 51, and some threat
may spread downstream of the watch prior to its 04Z expiration time.
A downstream watch may be needed soon.

DISCUSSION...At 02Z, the strongest convection across WW 51 remains
across portions of middle TN, where a threat for damaging wind and
perhaps a tornado or two will likely continue for the next 1-2
hours. Further north into KY and southern IN, where surface-based
buoyancy becomes increasingly limited, convection has struggled to
become organized, with occasional left-moving cells being the most
productive thus far. However, with very strong wind fields across
this region, the potential for remains for convection to organize
into bowing segments and/or embedded supercells, which would pose a
corresponding risk of damaging wind and perhaps a tornado. As this
convection spreads downstream out of WW 51, downstream watch
issuance may be needed soon.

..Dean/Grams.. 03/26/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...IND...

LAT...LON   35478690 36638653 38668655 39108649 39498587 39358451
            38198448 35698457 35438530 35428654 35478690
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