[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 082017
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082016
TNZ000-082145-

Mesoscale Discussion 0313
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0316 PM CDT Wed Apr 08 2020

Areas affected...Portions of west-central Tennessee

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 082016Z - 082145Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...Developing thunderstorms will pose a risk for hail and
wind in the near term, but storm interactions may limit the duration
and coverage of the severe threat.

DISCUSSION...Storms developing along an east-west oriented line
across parts of west-central TN are strengthening in an environment
with little to no inhibition and nearly 2500 J/kg of MLCAPE along
with 50 knots of effective bulk shear. Elongated, straight
hodographs (per RAP forecast soundings) in this region will promote
splitting storms. Although deep layer flow oriented parallel to the
line of storms will increase the probability of storm interactions
with time and casts some uncertainty regarding the duration and
coverage of the severe threat, discrete to semi-discrete modes in
the near term will pose a risk for severe hail and strong wind.
Trends will be monitored and a watch may be needed.

..Moore/Guyer.. 04/08/2020

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN...MEG...

LAT...LON   35728920 35778863 35758725 35648656 35168660 35158773
            35178868 35278942 35588954 35728920
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