[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Thu May 31 15:28:20 CDT 2018


ACUS11 KWNS 312027
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 312027
VAZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-312200-

Mesoscale Discussion 0593
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0327 PM CDT Thu May 31 2018

Areas affected...portions of southeast KY into northeast TN and far
western VA

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 312027Z - 312200Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated strong wind gusts will be possible, though the
threat should be brief in both time and space. A watch is not
expected.

DISCUSSION...The airmass across southeast KY into northeast TN and
far western VA has remained relatively free of convection this
afternoon. Currently, lines of convection are converging on this
area, where a very moist, warm and unstable environment is in place.
As storms develop/merge over the area, strong wind gusts will be
possible. The overall threat should remain limited in space and time
and a watch is not expected.

..Leitman/Hart.. 05/31/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...

LAT...LON   36588531 36908509 37038473 37118368 37268185 37038162
            36648171 36328198 36058278 35858378 35798441 35888487
            36078515 36588531
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