[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

Tue Nov 29 21:29:17 CST 2016

ACUS11 KWNS 300328
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300328
TNZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-300430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1848
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0928 PM CST TUE NOV 29 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN MIDDLE TN AND NORTHERN AL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 507

VALID 300328Z - 300430Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 507 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE LATE THIS EVENING WITH A FEW
TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...SEVERAL TORNADO WARNED STORMS...AT LEAST ONE WITH A
CONFIRMED TORNADO IN COFFEE COUNTY...TN AS OF APPROXIMATELY 0315Z...
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEAST LATE THIS EVENING. LOW TO MID 60S
DEW POINTS HAVE MADE THEIR WAY AS FAR NORTH AS SOUTHERN MIDDLE TN AS
A SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY REGION HAS
INCREASED. REGIONAL VWP DATA FROM HUN AND OHX CONTINUE TO SHOW
FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES TO SUPPORT CONTINUED ROTATION IN
SEMI-DISCRETE AND EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS. A FEW TORNADOES AND DAMAGING
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

IT IS UNCERTAIN HOW FAR EAST THESE STORMS MAY MAINTAIN SEVERE AND/OR
TORNADIC CHARACTERISTICS. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE STRENGTH AND
ORIENTATION OF THE LOW LEVEL JET...IT IS POSSIBLE THE THREAT MAY
EXPAND INTO PORTIONS OF EASTERN TN. TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY
FOR THE NEED OF A POSSIBLE DOWNSTREAM WATCH LATER TONIGHT.

..LEITMAN.. 11/30/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...

LAT...LON   35838586 35858520 35628496 35198505 34698538 34188605
            34088703 34178735 34908732 35308735 35638719 35838586
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