[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 072237
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 072237
TNZ000-SCZ000-NCZ000-VAZ000-KYZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-072330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1194
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0537 PM CDT THU JUL 07 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN TN...SERN KY...FAR SWRN VA...FAR WRN
CAROLINAS...NRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 350...

VALID 072237Z - 072330Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 350
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...STRONG TO DMGG WIND GUSTS REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS WW 350 IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A MCS. THIS THREAT MAY EXTEND BEYOND THE ERN EDGE
OF THE WATCH AROUND 00Z...AND TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR A
POSSIBLE NEW WW.

DISCUSSION...MCS CONTINUES TO MOVE ESEWD ACROSS MIDDLE/ERN TN AND
SERN KY AT AROUND 30 KT...AND CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT THE POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG WIND GUSTS. SWRN FLANK OF THE MCS WILL HAVE ACCESS TO THE
HOTTEST/MOST UNSTABLE AIR IN PLACE FROM NRN GA INTO ERN TN...WHERE
TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S F. COOLER TEMPERATURES
AND A MORE STABLE AIR MASS EXIST OVER/E OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN WRN
NC...WHERE SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS HAVE BEEN OCCURRING OVER THE PAST
SEVERAL HRS. REGIONAL VWP DATA SHOW 20-40 KT OF W-NWLY FLOW WITHIN
THE LOWEST 3 KM AGL...AND WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO MAINTAIN STRONG TO
MARGINALLY SVR CONVECTION FOR THE NEXT FEW HRS...BUT THE LOSS OF
DIURNAL HEATING SHOULD EVENTUALLY RESULT IN A GENERAL WEAKENING
TREND THROUGH THE LATE EVENING. HOWEVER...CONVECTIVE TRENDS CONTINUE
TO BE MONITORED FOR A POTENTIAL DMGG WIND THREAT EXTENDING E OF WW
350...IN WHICH CASE A SMALL WW MAY BE CONSIDERED INTO NRN GA AND
POSSIBLY FAR WRN NC AND SC WITHIN THE NEXT HR OR SO.

..ROGERS/HART.. 07/07/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...JKL...FFC...OHX...HUN...

LAT...LON   34968570 35738548 35958472 37148427 37228362 37128327
            36578238 35868256 34768269 34448309 34138430 34208481
            34968570
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