[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 062324
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062323
TNZ000-KYZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-070130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0339
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0623 PM CDT WED APR 06 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SOUTH-CENTRAL KY...PORTIONS OF MIDDLE INTO
EASTERN TN...EASTERN MS...NORTHERN/CENTRAL AL...AND NORTHWEST GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 062323Z - 070130Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...GUSTY WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY STORMS THIS EVENING. SPORADIC
STRONGER GUSTS MAY APPROACH SEVERE THRESHOLDS...BUT OVERALL THREAT
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIMITED. A WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME...BUT CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY.

DISCUSSION...AN INITIAL BAND OF STORMS ALONG A PRE-FRONTAL
CONFLUENCE ZONE FROM SOUTH-CENTRAL KY INTO NORTH-CENTRAL AL WAS
RESULTING IN SPORADIC GUSTY WINDS PER REPORTS FROM NWS LMK AND OHX.
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WERE NOTED ALONG/JUST AHEAD OF THE SURFACE
COLD FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN MS TOWARD THE TN BORDER. MEAGER BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTURE WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS MAINLY IN THE 40S TO NEAR 50
DEG F AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S TO LOW 70S HAS RESULTED IN ONLY
WEAK DESTABILIZATION LATE THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...STEEP LOW LEVEL
LAPSE RATES GREATER THAN 7.5 DEG C PER KM AND 0-1 KM SHEAR AROUND
35-45 KT WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SPORADIC/MARGINALLY SEVERE WINDS
INTO THE EVENING HOURS. WHILE A WATCH DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE NEEDED
AT THIS TIME...TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY.

..LEITMAN/THOMPSON.. 04/06/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...
JAN...

LAT...LON   32908614 32508707 32378799 32538869 32668912 32968935
            33278927 33968904 34408865 35098758 36148679 36658636
            36808593 36818565 36748514 36538476 35768444 35098459
            34308481 33868512 32908614
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