[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 102331
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102330
INZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-110100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0598
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0630 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SE MO...SRN IL...AND WRN KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 160...

VALID 102330Z - 110100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 160
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...GUSTY WINDS MAY CONTINUE FROM CENTRAL IL INTO WESTERN KY
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. A NEW WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED DOWNSTREAM OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WATCH 160.

DISCUSSION...23Z MESOANALYSIS INDICATED INCREASING SBCIN WITH LOSS
OF DAYTIME HEATING ACROSS THE MID-MS/LOWER OH VALLEY REGION. AS
FURTHER BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZATION CONTINUES...THE ARC OF STORMS
FROM CENTRAL IL INTO FAR SE MO MAY STRUGGLE TO REMAIN SURFACE
BASED...AND THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A DECREASE IN DAMAGING WIND
POTENTIAL WITH TIME AND EASTWARD EXTENT.

WHILE A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SEVERE WATCH 160
THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO...STORM REPORTS FROM WFO LSX INDICATE THE
STRONGEST WINDS HAVE REMAINED JUST BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...WITH MORE
WIDESPREAD REPORTS IN THE 40-55 MPH RANGE. A MARGINAL THREAT MAY
EXTEND OUTSIDE WW 160 INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL IL...BUT THE OVERALL
THREAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW AND/OR SUB-SEVERE. AS SUCH...A
DOWNSTREAM WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED.

..LEITMAN.. 05/10/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...

LAT...LON   39599063 39779033 39878996 39698885 39218820 38408796
            36548804 36538972 36609014 37078981 37658965 38458994
            39599063
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