[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 090707
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090707
ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-090830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0916
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0207 AM CDT MON JUN 09 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN PORTIONS OF TN INTO NRN AND CENTRAL MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 265...

VALID 090707Z - 090830Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 265
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE RISK CONTINUES ACROSS VALID PORTIONS OF WW
265.

DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS AN MCS CROSSING WRN TN AND
ADJACENT NRN AND CENTRAL MS ATTM...WITH THE STRONGER CELLS WITHIN
TWO BANDS S OF THE TN/MS BORDER.  EMBEDDED STRONGER/BOWING CELLS
WITHIN THESE BANDS ARE MOVING EWD AT 40 KT...AND REMAIN CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.  THAT SAID...THE AIRMASS
ACROSS NRN MS REMAINS ONLY MODESTLY UNSTABLE...WITH MIXED-LAYER CAPE
GENERALLY IN THE 250 TO 750 J/KG RANGE PER LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSES
ACROSS NRN MS AND INTO ADJACENT NRN AL DOWNSTREAM OF THE STRONGEST
STORMS.  THIS COMBINED WITH MARGINAL SHEAR OBSERVED ACROSS THE AREA
WOULD SUGGEST ONLY ISOLATED SEVERE RISK WILL PERSIST...AND THUS ATTM
EXPECT THAT A DOWNSTREAM WATCH INTO AL MAY NOT BE REQUIRED.

..GOSS.. 06/09/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   32898795 32508844 32208911 32178985 32828955 33388915
            33698920 33568993 33679085 34029069 34888943 35208828
            35028782 34028745 32898795



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