[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Jun 6 14:41:53 CDT 2014


ACUS11 KWNS 061944
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061943
GAZ000-ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-062115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0861
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0243 PM CDT FRI JUN 06 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF ERN AR...WRN TN...NRN MS...NRN
AL...NWRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 239...240...

VALID 061943Z - 062115Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
239...240...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ACROSS WWS 239
AND 240.

DISCUSSION...EXTRAPOLATION OF AN ONGOING BOWING LINE SEGMENT WITH
AROUND 35-40 KT OF FORWARD MOTION WILL LIKELY TAKE A DMGG-WIND RISK
THROUGH NERN/E-CNTRL AR TOWARD THE MS RIVER DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF HOURS. POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT OF A BOOKEND VORTEX/MCV IS NOTED AT
THE NRN EXTENT OF THIS LINE...WHICH MAY ENHANCE THE SVR-WIND RISK
ACROSS FAR NERN AR...THOUGH INSTABILITY IS RELATIVELY MORE MARGINAL
IN THESE AREAS. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE DEEP SOUTH WHERE VERY STRONG
INSTABILITY EXISTS AMIDST 30-40 KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR.
CONTINUED CONGLOMERATION OF COLD POOLS WILL LIKELY FOSTER AN
INCREASE IN THE DMGG-WIND POTENTIAL AS THE PEAK OF THE DIURNAL
HEATING CYCLE IS REACHED.

..COHEN.. 06/06/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...LZK...

LAT...LON   34778478 32708502 32978967 33529205 34669189 36049233
            36459201 36419126 36289008 35068853 34778478

WWWW
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