[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 051823
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051822
ALZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-051915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0837
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0122 PM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...MID SOUTH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 230...

VALID 051822Z - 051915Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 230
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE WARRANTED TO
INCLUDE PORTIONS OF MIDDLE TN AND POSSIBLY NRN AL.

DISCUSSION...LONG-LIVED MCS IS PROGRESSING ALONG THE MO/AR BORDER AT
ROUGHLY 50KT WITH THE APEX OF THE LEADING SQUALL LINE EXPECTED TO
SURGE JUST NORTH OF THE MEM METRO AREA.  NUMEROUS 50KT MEASURED WIND
GUSTS HAVE BEEN NOTED WITH THIS PORTION OF THE SQUALL LINE.
DOWNSTREAM...EAST-WEST BAND OF WARM ADVECTION CONVECTION EXTENDS
ACROSS WRN TN AND IS SLOWLY INTENSIFYING.  THIS SHOULD SERVE AS
BAROCLINIC ZONE FOR AFOREMENTIONED MCS TO TRACK ALONG.  WITH TIME
ROBUST CONVECTION SHOULD PROPAGATE INTO MIDDLE TN AND WILL
NECESSITATE A NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR
SO.

..DARROW.. 06/05/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...

LAT...LON   37699261 36468785 33998786 35239259 37699261


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