[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

[EMWIN Server]

ACUS11 KWNS 142253
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142253
TNZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-150030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1380
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0553 PM CDT MON JUL 14 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...TN...E-CNTRL AR...N MS/AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 419...

VALID 142253Z - 150030Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 419
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...OVERALL SEVERE RISK HAS LIKELY PEAKED WITHIN WW 419...BUT
STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL REMAIN CAPABLE OF ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS FOR
A FEW MORE HOURS. WEAKENING CONVECTIVE STRUCTURES AND WEAKER SHEAR
WITH SRN EXTENT SUGGEST THAT AN ADDITIONAL WW ISSUANCE IS UNLIKELY.

DISCUSSION...EARLIER ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE STRUCTURES OVER MIDDLE TN
AND NE AR HAVE WEAKENED DURING THE PAST HOUR. THE MOST PROMINENT
COLD POOL STRUCTURE STILL REMAINS WITH THE WRN MCS WHICH IS JUST
ABOUT TO MERGE WITH A W/E-ORIENTED CONVECTIVE CLUSTER OVER SW TN.
THIS SHOULD FORCE CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW FARTHER S INTO N MS AND
EVENTUALLY N AL. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE
90S TO THE S...WEAK LOW-LEVEL W/SWLYS PER GWX/HTX VWP DATA...ALONG
WITH ORIENTATION OF THE OUTFLOW NEARLY PARALLELING THIS TYPE OF FLOW
APPEAR UNLIKELY TO FAVOR ROBUST ORGANIZATION. STILL...STRONG WIND
GUSTS /REF 39 KT MEASURED AT KAWM AT 2232Z/ WILL BE CAPABLE OF
ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH ABOUT AN HOUR OR SO AFTER SUNSET.

..GRAMS.. 07/14/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...PAH...MEG...JAN...
LZK...

LAT...LON   36448952 36188863 35938808 35778732 35888633 36198541
            36318490 36338434 36138411 35788409 34498560 34038748
            33988986 34249192 34739217 35119103 35399029 35919005
            36259002 36448952


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