[BNAWX] Severe Local Storm Watch and Watch Cancellation

[EMWIN Server]

WWUS20 KWNS 011912
SEL3
SPC WW 011912
ARZ000-ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-020300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 383
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM CDT TUE JUL 1 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
  NORTHERN ARKANSAS
  SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
  SOUTHWEST INDIANA
  WESTERN KENTUCKY
  SOUTHERN AND EASTERN MISSOURI
  NORTHWEST TENNESSEE

* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF FLIPPIN ARKANSAS TO 10 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
OWENSBORO KENTUCKY.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/STRENGTH OVER
THE NRN OZARKS THROUGH LATER THIS AFTN AS SFC HEATING FURTHER
DESTABILIZES REGION DOWNSTREAM FROM W CNTRL MO MCV. LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT ALSO WILL SOMEWHAT INCREASE WITH TIME AS SD/NEB SHORTWAVE
TROUGH CONTINUES SEWD. AVAILABLE VWP DATA SUGGEST SUFFICIENT WSWLY
DEEP SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED/SUSTAINED STORMS...ESPECIALLY GIVEN MLCAPE
ON THE ORDER OF 3500 J/KG. ACTIVITY MAY EVOLVE INTO A CLUSTER OR
TWO...WITH A WIND THREAT FROM EMBEDDED FORWARD-PROPAGATING/POSSIBLY
TRANSIENT ROTATING STRUCTURES CONTINUING E INTO THE LWR OH BY EVE.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26030.


...CORFIDI


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