[BNAWX] Severe Storm Outlook Narrative

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Apr 28 17:22:57 CDT 2014


ACUS11 KWNS 282222
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282222
TNZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-282345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0461
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0522 PM CDT MON APR 28 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN THROUGH CNTRL AND NERN MS THROUGH NRN AL AND
SRN MIDDLE TN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 108...

VALID 282222Z - 282345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 108 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...TORNADO OUTBREAK UNDERWAY AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO AT
LEAST MID EVENING. SEVERAL INTENSE AND LONG TRACK TORNADOES ARE IN
PROGRESS ACROSS CNTRL/NERN MS INTO NRN AL. IN ADDITION TO
TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND ARE LIKELY WITH SOME
OF THE STORMS. ACTIVITY WILL EVENTUALLY DEVELOP INTO SERN TN AND A
PDS TORNADO WATCH MAY BE ISSUED SOON FOR THAT AREA.

DISCUSSION...EARLY THIS EVENING A BAND OF STORMS PERSIST FROM SWRN
THROUGH CNTRL AND NERN MS INTO NRN AL AND SRN MIDDLE TN. MANY OF THE
STORMS WITH THIS BAND ARE ALONG TRACK SUPERCELLS THAT WILL CONTINUE
TO PRODUCE INTENSE TORNADOES AT TIMES NEXT FEW HOURS. A
LARGE...UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR PERSISTS EAST OF THE DEVELOPING STORMS
ACROSS MS INTO AL...AND SRN TN WITH MLCAPE FROM 1500-2000 J/KG. A
STRONG 50+ KT SLY LLJ COUPLED WITHIN A MID LEVEL JET ROTATING
THROUGH BASE OF A LARGE UPPER LOW WILL SHIFT SLOWLY EWD THROUGH THE
WARM SECTOR...MAINTAINING LARGE 0-1 KM HODOGRAPHS AND 0-6 KM SHEAR
FOR SUPERCELLS WITH LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONES AND TORNADOES. THOUGH
STORM MODE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE BAND MAY GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO
PARTIAL LINEAR MODES LATER THIS EVENING...EMBEDDED SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES WILL REMAIN LIKELY WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT WITH A
CONTINUED THREAT FOR TORNADOES.

..DIAL.. 04/28/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON   35488407 34318648 32208935 32239087 33159008 35528740
            35488407



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